Investment in, revenue and running costs out. Returns ROI, annual profit and payback — plus what happens if revenue lands 20% below forecast.
Annual return on investment
54.4%
Payback in 22.1 months
If revenue lands differently
The 80% row is the one worth staring at — it is the scenario that actually happens in a first year.
MinimalPOS reports actual net sales, payment mix and item performance from your first shift — so you can measure month three against the plan rather than estimating it.
How this free tool helps
Enter what you are putting in, what you expect to take monthly, and what it costs to run. This works out monthly and annual profit, return on investment as a percentage, and how long before the investment comes back. Adjust revenue to see how sensitive the payback is to being wrong.
Projections are guesses until real numbers replace them. MinimalPOS reports actual net sales, payment mix and item performance from day one, so month three can be measured against the plan instead of estimated.
Explore MinimalPOS Restaurant POSDivide annual net profit by the total initial investment, then multiply by 100. If you invested 300,000 and the venue nets 60,000 a year, that is a 20% annual return, and the investment pays back in five years.
Independent operators often work to a three to five year horizon, but this varies enormously by format, lease terms and location. What matters more than the target is checking whether the payback still works if revenue lands 20% below forecast — that is the scenario that actually happens.
Everything before you open: fit-out, kitchen equipment, furniture, licences, deposits, initial stock, and enough working capital to cover the first few months while revenue builds. Leaving out working capital is the most common way these projections mislead.
Because a single projection is the least useful thing you can produce. Seeing payback at 80% of forecast revenue tells you whether the plan survives contact with a slow first year.
Continue planning
Looking for operating advice? Read the MinimalPOS restaurant guides.